Recently Published
Predicting Housing Prices with R: Regression & Model Comparison
This report analyzes the Boston Housing dataset to identify
key drivers of residential property prices using multiple
regression techniques in R.
Four models are built and compared:
- Full Linear Model (R² = 0.733)
- Reduced Linear Model (insignificant variables removed)
- Quadratic Model (R² = 0.832)
- Log-Quadratic Model (best diagnostic behavior)
Key findings:
- Room count (rm) is the strongest positive predictor
- Poverty rate (lstat) is the strongest negative predictor
- Air quality (nox) significantly depresses home values
- Quadratic model achieves lowest RMSE of 4.49
Tools used: R, ggplot2, broom, knitr, Quarto
Forecasting US GDP Growth with ARIMA & ETS Models in R
This report forecasts US GDP growth rate using 64 years
of quarterly Federal Reserve data (1960-2023).
Two models are built and compared:
- ARIMA — captures autocorrelation structure
- ETS — adapts to structural shifts post-COVID
Key findings:
- GDP growth is mean-reverting (~2.5% long run average)
- ARIMA performs better in stable economic periods
- ETS adapts faster during volatile periods
- Both models significantly outperform naive forecasts
Tools used: R, forecast, tseries, Quarto