imputation

For ARP Sensors

PhD data management

tablero actividad 113 modulo 1 - estadística para la toma de decisiones

TABLERO ACTIVIDAD 113, 1.3, MODULO 1, ESTADISTICA PARA LA TOMA DE DESICIONES

This study applies Box-Jenkins time series methodology to monthly confirmed malaria cases collected in Togo (2022-2024). ARIMA, SARIMA, and ARIMAX models were compared to evaluate temporal dynamics and forecasting performance. Results demonstrate strong annual seasonality, with SARIMA providing the most accurate and parsimonious model for predicting malaria incidence. The analysis highlights the relevance of routine surveillance data for epidemiological forecasting and public health planning in resource-constrained settings.